Last chance saloon for Bangladesh to gain some pride and for us to get our money back from the first two games, plus a bit of interest!

Another comfortable win for South Africa in the latest one day match, although not as emphatic a win as the first game. This would suggest that they should wrap up the series 3-0. The market is obviously expecting that by pricing up South Africa at 1.11 on Betfair and of course they are more then capable.

However, is this 1.11 value? I say an emphatic NO!

This is a dead rubber game and that in itself makes backing 1.11 shots a hazardous pastime. Bangladesh also showed in last game that, albeit only in patches, they can compete with the South Africans.

The Bangladesh top order has just not fired at all this series and they have not even posted 180 in the two games so far. They are due and are too good to keep failing therefore I am more then happy to take a chance that it will be third time lucky for them in the last event of the series.

I said in the first two games that there was a very small downside in laying South Africa at these low prices but potentially, a very big upside if Bangladesh can pull it off.

That remains the case for this final game and I strongly suggest LAYING South Africa for a liability of 2pts @ 1.12.

Big Joe

(Ground info supplied by Cricinfo)