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Article: This Week's Rugby League

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This Week's Rugby League


A couple of small bets to start the weekend for the Murrayfield Magic fixtures. As the season progresses the bookies seem to be agreeing more and more with my numbers. I guess we've all seen the same things and have to rely on history to form our prices.

Warrington v Hull KR



3rd May 19:00 BST

It's fair to say that Warrington have improved significantly in the last couple of weeks with a big win at Bradford and a comfortable victory over Huddersfield. With the personnel in their ranks it's about time. But Warrington are Warrington and they are more than capable of going from the sublime to the ridiculous and they face a Hull KR team in steady, consistent form that has seen them reach the lofty position of 2nd in the ladder.

There will be plenty of confidence in the KR ranks and with Dobson and Cooke starting to gel in the halfbacks and the recent return of Vella to give them big go-forward I just had to make them favourites for this one.
This bet will look even better if Lee Briers, who is a doubt for Wire, misses out. Briers pulls the strings for this team and their two recent wins were when he returned from missing the Easter defeats at Salford and home to Castleford.

I had Hull KR by 2-4pts which isn't too far away from the scratch on offer but I'll take my chances with a small stake.

Pick: Hull KR 2pts @ 1.91 with PaddyPower, Sky Bet , Bluesq and Coral

Super League Table

  Team P W D L F A PTS
1 St Helens 11 9 0 2 339 178 18
2 Hull KR 11 7 1 3 284 189 15
3 Leeds 11 7 0 4 243 151 14
4 Huddersfield 11 7 0 4 250 197 14
5 Wakefield 11 7 0 4 265 221 14
6 Castleford 11 7 0 4 273 273 14
7 Harlequins RL 10 6 0 4 263 198 12
8 Hull 11 6 0 5 232 224 12
9 Wigan 12 5 0 7 282 249 10
10 Catalans Dragons 11 4 0 7 246 302 8
11 Warrington 11 4 0 7 249 314 8
12 Bradford 10 3 1 6 203 279 7
13 Salford 11 3 0 8 176 361 6
14 Celtic Crusaders 10 0 0 10 142 311 0
 

Wigan v St.Helens




2nd May 19:00 BST

St.Helens were shocked last week with defeat at home to Bradford after a string of magnificent performances. I sensed that Saints thought they only had to turn up to win that one after all the talk in the week of cricket scores after Bradford's collapse against Wire. It doesn't work like that in top-level rugby league and you need focus to beat every team.

There's little doubt that defeat, coupled with this fixture against their archenemies will ensure that their minds will be switched on. Puletua and Gidley who missed out last week are named in the squad and they are massive players for Saints. Puletua is a man mountain and gets great yards whilst Gidley is such a professional and is the reason that Ade Gardner, his winger, is an international.

Wigan and Saints met recently at the JJB in wet conditions, which doesn't really suit Saints, but they still came away with a 9pt victory. At this neutral venue I can't make a case for Wigan having such a low start.
OK, they've won their last two but Celtic and Wakefield are not St.Helens. They capitulated in France the week before those two and it would be no surprise to me, if the weather is set fair, if Saints run up a big score. I'm not saying Wigan can't win, but it's all about staking when you disagree with the odds or handicaps. I had Saints by 12. For the more cautious the match odds price of 1.33 is more than fair but I'll take my chances at the higher odds.

Pick: St.Helens –8 2pts @ 1.91 with Sportingbet
 
The man

Free Bet!
Author: The Man, Published 01 May 09
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