Engage Super League

No prices for the lower leagues as yet but there's one in Super League that has caught my eye. We have to wait until Tuesday but I suggest the price is taken ASAP as the money will only flow in one direction.

Leeds v Hull



26th May 20:00 BST
Sky Sports 1 (20:00-22:00), Sky Sports HD1 (20:00-22:00)

After a bright start Hull's season has started to stutter and their mid-table position is a bit misleading. If we analyse their start in a bit more depth we see that their wins were against the likes Celtic, Salford, Bradford and Wigan. The latter two may have seemed decent at the time but those two former giants languish outside of the play-off zone. In recent weeks they have had real problems posting points and I can see no reason to change against a very strong Leeds' defence.

Leeds, themselves, have gone through a patchy spell but you have to look at the strength of their team in comparison to Hull. Leeds will be pretty much at full strength with Burrow and Donald expected to shake off injuries that forced them to leave the field early versus Castleford. Hull have got problems in this area with Cusack and Washbrook expected to be added to their already lengthy list.

Engage Super League Table

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	PTS
1	St Helens	13	10	0	3	389	244	20
2	Hull KR	13	9	1	3	340	229	19
3	Leeds	13	9	0	4	303	189	18
4	Harlequins RL	12	8	0	4	311	231	16
5	Huddersfield	13	8	0	5	294	237	16
6	Wakefield	13	7	0	6	298	277	14
7	Hull	13	7	0	6	272	258	14
8	Castleford	13	7	0	6	311	321	14
9	Wigan	14	6	0	8	332	287	12
10	Warrington	13	5	0	8	295	366	10
11	Bradford	12	4	1	7	259	325	9
12	Catalans Dragons	13	4	0	9	290	370	8
13	Salford	13	4	0	9	216	389	8
14	Celtic Crusaders	12	1	0	11	188	375	2

I can find no reason why the start should be so low. If Leeds were playing, say, Wakefield or Catalan you would have expected 18pts and I can't have Hull as any better than that duo, in fact in my book currently worse.
Sometimes it is very frustrating when the layers don't seem to form an opinion as they all seem to copy each other and rarely stray more than a couple of points from the average. On this occasion it is a blessing as it should mean it will be a lot easier to get a decent stake on. I had Leeds by 18pts. Another angle for the less risky would be to snap up the 1.22 from Skybet on the match odds. I'll stake my reputation on the fact that you will be able to trade out for a profit pre-game using the exchanges. If I was a layer my match odds price would be 1.08.

Pick: Leeds -12 4pts @ 1.91Bet365, Skybet, 888sport, Ladbrokes
 
The Man