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Article: This Week's Rugby League
By The Man
We reach the play-off stage for Super League clubs and I guess all the form is out there in the public domain. Everyone has had 27 rounds to formulate an opinion and unfortunately this weekend sees my view in agreement with the layers. Some people will no doubt be desperate for a bet, it's the play-offs and all the games are televised after all, but if you want to win at this gambling game you've got to resist. Backing what you fancy isn't the road to riches, it's backing when the prices are wrong or in the case of rugby when the handicaps are wrong, in your opinion.
That's not to say I won't be playing. Even when you agree with the handicaps we now have the exchanges where you can compensate by laying at poor prices or backing at good ones. You might think a handicap is spot on but if you can lay either team at 1.9 or back them at 2.1 there's still money to be made in the long run. I'll be covering every market on Betfair and all my odds are derived from the handicaps I set. With This week as I'm unable to recommend any wagers I'll share with you the odds I have put in on Betfair as a layer for the match odds and handicap markets:
Leeds v Hull KR

18th September 20:00 BST
Sky Sports 2 (19:30-22:00), Sky Sports HD2 (19:30-22:00)
Leeds 1.2
Hull KR 4.3 (already matched despite the market now drifting)
Draw 26 (matched)
Leeds -10.5 1.8
HKR +10.5 1.9
Leeds -22.5 3.45
HKR +22.5 1.2
Leeds +8.5 1.06
HKR -8.5 5.6
Wakefield v Catalans

19th September 20:00 BST
Sky Sports 2 (20:00-22:00), Sky Sports HD2 (20:00-22:00)
Wakefield 1.57
Catalan 2.4
Draw 21
Wakefield -4.5 1.87
Catalan +4.5 1.83 (partially matched)
Wakefield -16.5 3.75
Catalan +16.5 1.17
Wakefield +10.5 1.11
Catalan -10.5 4.5
St Helens v Huddersfield

19th September 18:00 BST
Sky Sports 2 (17:55-20:00), Sky Sports HD2 (17:55-20:00)
St Helens 1.22
Huddersfield 4 (matched)
Draw 24
St Helens -8.5 1.83
Huddersfield +8.5 1.87
St Helens -20.5 3.45
Huddersfield +20.5 1.2
St Helens +10.5 1.05
Huddersfield -10.5 5.9
Wigan v Castleford

20th September 19:00 BST
Sky Sports 1 (18:55-21:30), Sky Sports HD1 (18:55-21:30)
Wigan 1.33
Castleford 3.25
Draw 23
Wigan -8.5 1.87
Castleford +8.5 1.83
Wigan -20.5 3.75
Castleford +20.5 1.17
Wigan +10.5 1.07
Castleford -10.5 5.3
If my bets get matched they get matched, if they don't they don't but with providing liquidity for the other markets like HTFT and margin I think I am pretty much guaranteed to have an interest in every game.
Any serious punter really must have the exchanges in their armoury not least because it is really difficult to get a decent sized wager on with the bookmakers once you've shown an aptitude for winning a little or even just taking best prices.
Whether you decide to sit this weekend out and enjoy the action, play the exchanges or have a view, best of luck
Author: The Man, Published 18 Sep 09


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