New Zealand v India



Fourth One Day International
Hamilton Cricket Ground
11th March 01:00 GMT, Sky Sports 1 (01:00-09:30)
India Leads five match series 2-0

Weather

Now that price is just too big! Ok so I'm not talking about my recent lump on Binocular to win at Cheltenham, which is drifting like nobody's business but I am talking about the stance of Irish Bookmakers Boylesports who have offered a monster 2.75 on New Zealand winning the next ODI against India. 2.75 on the fourth best one day side in the world, on their own turf and they are welcoming back the best ODI bowler in world cricket in Daniel Vettori.

Ok so I may be rambling on a bit because let’s face it, they are playing against a formidable Indian side which has found it's mojo after a bit of a dodgy twenty20 series but if you bet on value, long term you will be churning out hefty profits from your punting so take note, New Zealand are a value bet here.
 
If you would like a bit of history to back up my selection then I will gladly dish it out. New Zealand have played here in Hamilton in twelve ODI's dating back to 1981 and have lost here just once! Yes that's right once, and that was to Sri Lanka by a measly three runs. The last game played here in ODI's was between the Black Caps and England and the English were crushed by ten wickets. Read into the stats whatever you wish.

Hamilton Cricket Ground. New Zealand One-Day Internationals from 1981

New Zealand	India	(W) New Zealand	57 runs	1981
New Zealand	Pakistan	(W) New Zealand	4 wickets	1985
New Zealand	Pakistan	(W) New Zealand	7 wickets	1989
New Zealand	Sri Lanka	(W) New Zealand	6 wickets	1992
New Zealand	Australia	(W) New Zealand	3 wickets	1993
New Zealand	Sri Lanka	(W) New Zealand	57 runs	1995
New Zealand	Zimbabwe	(W) New Zealand	40 runs	1998
New Zealand	Sri Lanka	(W) Sri Lanka	3 runs	2001
New Zealand	India	(W) New Zealand	6 wickets	2003
New Zealand	Sri Lanka	no result		2007
New Zealand	Australia	(W) New Zealand	1 wicket	2007
New Zealand	England	(W) New Zealand	10 wickets	2008

 Another little market of interest is the player performance market offered by Bet365 to which I have offered a key below the recommendations, and this market is proving to be a little goldmine at the moment so I thoroughly intend to have another dabble on this. The player market that most interests me here is Daniel Vettori who is quoted at Under 33 @ 1.83 or 33 and Over @ 1.83 For me this is a crazily low makeup as two wickets would give you a winner on the overs, as would one wicket and thirteen runs or any other combination. For a top class left arm spin bowler that nearly always bowls his full compliment with definite batting capabilities, this is madness.
 
This is enough for me for now but I hope that I am right and if so, you will all be richer come Wednesday afternoon!
 
Recommendations - 3 Points Stake on New Zealand @ 2.75 (Boylesports )
4 Points Stake on D.Vettori 33 and Over performance points @ 1.83 (Bet365)
 
 365 Performance Market Key:
1 Point per run scored for batting
10 Points per catch taken fielding
20 Points per wicket for bowling
25 Points per stumping for wicket keeping
VOID in case of abandonment unless at least 40 overs played per side except cases where makeup already achieved.

Crafty Stan