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Article: MIDWEEK MAJORS

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Although this is not a bad Wednesday card, there is just one match in which I would like to draw your attentions to, the Cleveland Indians playing at the Los Angeles Angels.

 

CLEVELAND INDIANS (Laffey 5-6, 3.61) @ LOS ANGELES ANGELS (Lackey 7-2, 2.58)
Wednesday 23rd July 2008 8:35pm UK Time, 3:35pm US Eastern Time

This contest is not one to be enjoyed by the Indians at all. John Lackey is one of the best pitchers in the majors (the best in my personal opinion) and the Angels have the best record in the majors.
Aaron Laffey has been pretty effective thus far in this season and this is vindicated by his low earned run average of 3.61, a mark which would usually produce a winning record were he getting runs support. This is a problem for the Indians, they seem to be so incredibly inconsistent and in the main it is from an offensive point of view because they have the ability to regularly put double figures on the board but struggle to string together such performances.
The Angels are the top team right now because they have a great pitching rotation, have good basehitters, good basestealers, home run hitters and are an excellent fielding unit. That all sounds an obvious thing to say and must come across as extremely simplistic but the fact is that baseball is essentially a very simple game, and the Angels treat every game as importantly as the last.
It is tough to find value on the outright market with the Angels a best priced 1.6 but you should turn to the handicap market and back the Angels on the -1.5 mark to show their superiority over the Tribe.


MEN TO WATCH
Grady Sizemore (.273, 24 HR. 55 RBI, 24 SB) Cleveland Indians
Casey Kotchman ( .279, 9 HR, 47 RBI, 2 SB) LA Angels

RECOMMENDATION - 3 Points stake - LA Angels -1.5 Handicap @ 2.21 (Coral)

MATCH STATS (from Bodog.com)

RECENT FORM
TEAM RECORD MONEY vsLHP vsRHP
CLE 44-55 -$2351 10-13 34-42
LAA 61-39 $1309 14-6 47-33
TEAM FAVE DOG OU RUN DIFF
CLE 31-30 13-25 46-50-3 0.11
LAA 41-28 20-11 36-59-5 0.31

 
 
SMART CHART
CLE   TEAM   LAA
4.55 RUNS   4.34
4.43   RUNS AGNST 4.03
0.11   DIFF 0.31
-$2,251   MONEY $1,209
4.25   TEAM ERA 3.77
8.43   OFF HITS 8.74
3.18 OFF WALKS   2.77
7.35 OFF Ks   6.18
9.28   DEF HITS 8.62
2.84 DEF WALKS   2.91
6.24 DEF Ks   6.58
PITCHER LAST 3 STARTS
AARON LAFFEY (L) ERA: 3.61 W/L: 5-6
DATE OPP W/L SCORE OU IP $
07/18/2008 SEA L 2-8 O 3â…” -100
07/10/2008 TB W 13-2 O 6 100
07/05/2008 MIN L 6-9 O 5 -100
JOHN LACKEY (R) ERA: 2.58 W/L: 7-2
DATE OPP W/L SCORE OU IP $
07/18/2008 BOS W 11-3 O 7 100
07/10/2008 TEX W 11-10 O 5â…” 100
07/05/2008 TOR L 5-7 O 6 -125
BULLPENS
Cleveland Indians's relievers have pitched 5â…” innings in the last 3 games. Los Angeles Angels's relievers have pitched 10â…“ innings in the last 3 games.
INJURIES
CLEVELAND INDIANS
PLAYER POS DESCRIPTION
Josh Barfield 2B 15-Day Disabled List
Fausto Carmona P 15-Day Disabled List
Scott Elarton P 15-Day Disabled List
Travis Hafner DH 15-Day Disabled List
Victor Martinez C 15-Day Disabled List
Jake Westbrook P 60-Day Disabled List
LOS ANGELES ANGELS
PLAYER POS DESCRIPTION
Kelvim Escobar P 60-Day Disabled List
Torii Hunter OF Bereavement List
Gary Matthews Jr. OF Day-to-Day (sore knee)
Mike Napoli C 15-Day Disabled List
Jered Weaver P Day-to-Day (sore back)
 
BETTING TRENDS
CLEVELAND INDIANS
Cleveland is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
Cleveland is 3-11 SU in its last 14 games on the road
LOS ANGELES ANGELS
LA Angels are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games
LA Angels are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games at home

TOP 3/BOTTOM 3

INDIANS

Indians have the second worst hits stat in the league at 8.4 per game.

Indians allow the third most hits in the league at 9.3 per game.

Indians are second best in walks allowed in the league at 2.8 per game.

ANGELS

Angels are second worst in the league in free passes at 2.8 per game.

Angels have the second stingiest defence in the league at 4.0 runs per game.

HEAD TO HEAD DETAIL
DATE DAY AWAY RUNS HOME RUNS WINNER HOMELINE TOTAL OU AWAY
STARTER
HOME
STARTER
07/22/2008 Tue CLE 2 LAA 3 LAA -170 9 U M Ginter Jered Weaver
07/21/2008 Mon CLE 5 LAA 2 CLE -220 8½ U P Byrd E Santana
04/09/2008 Wed CLE 5 LAA 9 LAA -128 9½ O P Byrd D Moseley
04/08/2008 Tue CLE 4 LAA 3 CLE -108 8½ U J Westbrook E Santana
04/07/2008 Mon CLE 4 LAA 6 LAA 105 8½ O F Carmona J Saunders
09/09/2007 Sun CLE 6 LAA 2 CLE -155 9 U A Laffey Jered Weaver
09/08/2007 Sat CLE 6 LAA 1 CLE 110 9 U C Sabathia E Santana
09/07/2007 Fri CLE 2 LAA 3 LAA -135 8½ U J Westbrook J Lackey
09/06/2007 Thu CLE 3 LAA 10 LAA -145 9 O P Byrd K Escobar
05/10/2007 Thu CLE 0 LAA 8 LAA -135 9 U J Sowers K Escobar

PITCHER RECENT STARTS VS OPPONENT
AARON LAFFEY VS. LOS ANGELES ANGELS |
DATE RUNS WINNER INNINGS PITCHED HITS RUNS EARNED RUNS WALKS KS DECISION
09/09/2007 6-2 CLE 5 6 2 1 2 3 W
JOHN LACKEY VS. CLEVELAND INDIANS |
DATE RUNS WINNER INNINGS PITCHED HITS RUNS EARNED RUNS WALKS KS DECISION
09/07/2007 3-2 LAA 7 6 1 1 1 6 ND
08/09/2006 4-0 CLE 6 9 4 3 3 6 L
07/19/2006 6-4 CLE 4â…” 10 5 5 5 7 L
06/04/2006 14-2 LAA 7 2 0 0 4 4 W
05/09/2005 3-0 CLE 7 6 3 3 3 5 L
TEAMS LAST 5 GAMES
CLEVELAND INDIANS |
DATE DAY RUNS OPPONENT RUNS RESULT MONEY
LINE
TOTAL STARTER IP OPP
STARTER
07/22/2008 Tue 2 at LAA 3 L -170 9 M Ginter 6 Jered Weaver
07/21/2008 Mon 5 at LAA 2 W -220 8½ P Byrd 5â…“ E Santana
07/20/2008 Sun 6 at SEA 2 W 120 8 C Lee 9 C Silva
07/19/2008 Sat 9 at SEA 6 W -105 9½ J Sowers 6 M Batista
07/18/2008 Fri 2 at SEA 8 L -140 7½ A Laffey 3â…” Felix Hernandez
LOS ANGELES ANGELS |
DATE DAY RUNS OPPONENT RUNS RESULT MONEY
LINE
TOTAL STARTER IP OPP
STARTER
07/22/2008 Tue 3 CLE 2 W -170 9 Jered Weaver 3 M Ginter
07/21/2008 Mon 2 CLE 5 L -220 8½ E Santana 7 P Byrd
07/20/2008 Sun 5 BOS 3 W -110 9 J Garland 6â…” T Wakefield
07/19/2008 Sat 4 BOS 2 W 105 8 J Saunders 6â…” J Beckett
07/18/2008 Fri 11 BOS 3 W -145 7½ J Lackey 7 C Buchholz
SUPERGRID
    RANK   RANK
Cleveland's Overall Scoring vs LA Angels's Overall Defense 4.6 8 4.0 2
Cleveland's Away Scoring vs LA Angels's Home Defense 4.3 8 4.4 9
Cleveland's Road ERA vs LA Angels's Home ERA Allowed 5.1 12 4.1 11
LA Angels's Overall Scoring vs Cleveland's Overall Defense 4.3 10 4.4 8
LA Angels's Home Scoring vs Cleveland's Road Defense 4.4 11 5.1 12
LA Angels's Home ERA vs Cleveland's Road ERA Allowed 4.1 9 4.0 8
   
TEAM VS DIVISION OR CONFERENCE
CLEVELAND INDIANS SU HOME AWAY FAVE DOG OU vsLHP vsRHP
Overall 44-55 26-22 18-33 31-30 13-25 46-50-3 10-13 34-42
vs Div 13-24 6-7 7-17 11-12 2-12 21-16 4-4 9-20
Last 10 7-3 4-0 3-3 3-0 4-3 5-4-1 1-0 6-3
vs AL 38-43 22-17 16-26 26-25 12-18 38-40-3 9-9 29-34
vs NL 6-12 4-5 2-7 5-5 1-7 8-10 1-4 5-8
LOS ANGELES ANGELS SU HOME AWAY FAVE DOG OU vsLHP vsRHP
Overall 61-39 30-21 31-18 41-28 20-11 36-59-5 14-6 47-33
vs Div 19-12 7-6 12-6 15-9 4-3 17-12-2 5-3 14-9
Last 10 7-3 4-1 3-2 5-3 2-0 3-7 0-0 7-3
vs AL 51-31 26-16 25-15 34-21 17-10 31-48-3 12-4 39-27
vs NL 10-8 4-5 6-3 7-7 3-1 5-11-2 2-2 8-6

Happy Punting
Crafty Stan

 

Author: Crafty Stan, Published 23 Jul 08
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