Friday Night NBA - Extra

By Divol

Sacramento Kings v New Jersey Nets



28th November 03:05 GMT

No need to explain why Kings should carry this one over the total, since they have done it in 8 of the last 9 games since Martin's injury. Nets are the reason for such a low total and the main question is, can the Nets score at least 90 points? I think the answer is yes.

It's true they done it only once in the last 9 games, but they did it against a "Kings" type of team, the Knicks. They played a lot of good teams on defense and they had a lot of injuries and that means their results are deceiving. Narris is healthy since the Knicks game but he came off the bench on that game because he wasn't 100%. The next two games I think he was ready to start but given the fact they played Denver and Portland, they didn't even try to compete and didn't want to rush him back. He can start today and deliver 20+ game against the non existing defense of the Kings. Another player that should be having a great night is Lopez. Kings don't have even one player resembling a stopper in the paint. Lopez can easily finish the evening with 25 points and 15 rebounds without even having a great game.

If this Nets duo finish the game with 50 points or higher, they got Alston, Douglas- Roberts and others that should produce another 40+ points. Kings as I mentioned don't really need a reason to go Over this total

I believe that both teams will score 95 points at least and one of the teams will go to 100+ points. 110 - 97 for the Kings looks about right here.



Pick: Over 194 points, 1.91, 2.5 units play - William Hill


Oklahoma City Thunder v Milwaukee Bucks



28th November 02:35 GMT

I think that Bucks with Redd and without Bogut should be an Over team. No big guy for a set offense, but a lot of fast players that can play fastbreaks even after a basket. Since Bogut's injury Bucks have made 4 Overs in a row and I believe that the bookies still didn't adjust the line since public still doesn't see the change in the pace of the team.

Thunders are also a team that doesn't get scared of a high pace game. In their last 10 games, only once at least did one team not reach 100 points. They had a few poor performances on offense, but not home, scoring in all but one game at least 93 points. I can easily see both teams go Over 100 points, but here it's enough for one team to reach 95 points and other to reach 105 to have a winner.

I believe in the local team, but the Over I like even more.



Pick: Over 197 points, 1.97 odds - 2 units play - Pinnacle