Eurocup Basketball

By Divol

Pamesa Valencia v Hapoel Jerusalem



26th January 19:30 GMT

Those two teams are two different leagues, but I still think that the line is too high. Valencia are coming off a great match beating Barcelona and they can easily overlook Jerusalem. Add to that the friendly relationship between Spahija and Gudes and I see no reason to back Pamesa with the crazy line. On the contrary, I believe that Jerusalem will lose, but still maintain the margin on single digits only.

But, the really value here is the Total.

Many look at the recent win over Barcelona and the fact that Valencia stopped Barcelona on 59 points only. But, their last 5 games average is 154.5 points and if we remove game with 139 points total, we get 158.5 points (and all games were much closer to that average). On the contrary, Pamesa are decent on defense, not great and I can't see them giving same effort on defense two games in a row. Jerusalem on the other side has very high scores. 167.8 average last 5 league games. 165 points average in Europe so far. Just can't see the same intense effort on defense from Valencia and Jerusalem will live and die on their offense, not defense. It would have been full stakes if not the bad run last night that makes me a bit unsure of myself.

Still, the game will go as high as 160+ points with 87 – 81 is the projected score (maybe even higher like 91 – 82).

Pick: Over 153.5 points, 1.92 – 4 units play - Unibet