ACB Sunday

By Divol

C B Murcia v Meridiano Alicante



21st March 11:30 GMT

This is the last chance for Murcia to have any chance for survival, while for Alicante this is a chance to make one more step to survive in ACB. I believe it should be a nervous game so the score can be lower than in normal times, but with the first game having 182 points scored, I feel that Over is still the right bet here.

First of all, 170 points is the average in Murcia's last 5 home games. I repeat, 170 points! Alicante's average in the last 5 road games is 156.6 points, so the total set for the match is surprising low and that takes me to the next point. Rarely do we get to see totals above 155 points in ACB. To get 158 points total? Bookies themselves hint to us that they expect a high scoring game today. Alicante has a 77 points team total and that is when in the first game between them, Alicante scored 113 points!

That brings me to the third point and that is the previous game. One game can't tell us much, but still, 182 points? That is really a lot of points and I would think that both teams should be able to cross the 80 point mark. The last reason for the Over bet is that in such important match, we can easily see 12 – 14 points in the final minute due to teams trying to gain possessions by fouling and sending to the line.

Pick: Over 158.5, 1.93 – 2.5 units play - Pinnacle

Divol