Euroleague Basketball

By Divol

Real Madrid v Barcelona



30th March 20:25 GMT

Barcelona are in the worst offensive drought this season. Navarro since the Cup Finals is 3 from 30 from the three point line. I repeat. Navarro, best of the shooters in the world in the last decade, shoots 7.5% from the 3 point line in the last month! Real also still haven't found their offensive rhythm and they can't count on another performance from Tomic as he gave in the 2nd game of the series.

What both teams do well? Defend. The first game finished with 129 points, second with 133 points. I see no reason for the score to be higher than 140 points today as well. Both teams feel they can stop the other, but shouldn't feel too confident in their abilities to put the points on the scoreboard. I think that Real should have been 1 point favourite and not 1.5 points dog, but it's still not enough for me to bet on them.

Under on the other hand, makes perfect sense. I believe there is a decent chance that both teams won't score even 70 points and I highly doubt we will see both teams score 70+ points. 68 - 64 for Real is my projected score.

Pick: Under 141.5 points, 1.91 odds - 3 units play Bluesq / 888sport


Partizan Mobtel v Maccabi Tel Aviv



30th March 19:45 GMT

I see this game as even chances. Maccabi are the better team but Partizan will enjoy the support of 23,000 fans. Maccabi was the better team in this series so far for 70 of the 80 minutes played so far in the series and they can stop Partizan. I believe that Partizan will have trouble with their position of favourites for today's game, since it isn't easy for such a young team that haven't been in the Final Four for a long time to suddenly be favourites to do so.

Gershon made really good adjustments and preparations for each of the games. They started from closing the paint and allowed Partizan to shoot behind the arc, something they don't do well. It worked for most of the first game, but Kecman killed Maccabi in the second half. In the second game, Maccabi played different defences, pressured Partizan and made a lot of easy points. Gershon is the better coach between the two and Maccabi has the better team. They will win one game in Serbia and I believe it will be the first game. Still, this is more of a TV bet, since Maccabi can focus on the second game in Serbia as well.

Pick: Maccabi to win, 2.41 odds - 1.5 units play - Pinnacle

Divol