Wednesday Night NBA

By Divol

Dallas Mavericks v San Antonio Spurs



22nd April 02:35 GMT

The line got higher by two points, but I will still take Timmy here. Spurs needs Duncan strong to have any chance for a win in Dallas and after the loss by the Spurs in Game 1, despite great game from Duncan, they have got no choice but to rely on him yet again tonight. I don't like to take adjusted lines to be honest on player's props but I believe that just like Miller yesterday, in long term to take them with the Over points will bring money until the end of the series. Duncan still holds 24.5 points average in the last year playing the Mavs (8 games) and has been better on the road than at home. As long as Dallas won't blow the Spurs, Timmy will play and deliver in the money time.

The First game ended in a push, but I still believe in the Under here. Both teams shot above average in FG percentage, the teams combined 48 shots from the three throw, above their average by 4 - 6 shots and got 27 points on fast breaks. A record in the last year in matches between the teams and still, as I said, the game ended in a push. I believe that both teams will be much more careful here. Dallas knows they won't get a 36 point evening on each night from Dirk (though he can do it, he just probably won't) and Spurs know that they it won't be easy for them to score 100+ points in Dallas, so they must stop the Mavs on 95 points at the most. Today I believe we will see the result around 185 points.



Picks:

Duncan Over 19.5 points - 1.96 odds - 1.5 units play - Pinnacle

Under 194.5 points, 1.98 odds - 3.5 units play - 188bet

Divol