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Article: Monday Night NBA - Part Two

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Monday Night NBA - Part Two

By Divol

Milwaukee Bucks v Atlanta Hawks



27th April 01:35 GMT

I'm trying to understand this prop, but I just can't. Jennings shot one huge game scoring 34 points, hurting his leg in the process. Since then he has shot 9 and 13 points only. In the three games in regular season he averaged just 8.7 points. How is the total for him 16.5 points? I just can't understand that. I think that while Jennings is capable of exploding, I think that there is much bigger chance that he won't than that he will. With at least one more game after this one, I do believe that at least in one of them, Jennings won't score the total. I do like Smith's Under and Salmons Over, but couldn't find decent odds for that and I don't see value in the bets taking them for 1.75 odds. However if you have Salmons Over 20.5 points for 1.85 or higher or even better, Over 20 points or Smith Under 15 points or higher, you should take it.



Pick: Jennings Under 16.5 points - 1.86 odds - 1.5 units play - Pinnacle


Phoenix Suns v Portland Trail Blazers



27th April 03:35 GMT

I will go back to taking Miller's prop bet. The public and bookies are seeing this prop the wrong way. Miller shoots 12.6 points at home while making 15.3 points on the road, while making 6 assists at home and 4.9 only on the road. Miller isn't much of a shooter, so at home he rather feed the balls to those that can shoot and on the road, when the long shots don't go too well for Portland, he takes over. With Roy back, Suns will have no choice but to put back Nash on Miller for at least some of the minutes and Miller can and should score 16+ points, after getting his prop back to normal size.



Pick: Miller Over 15 points - 1.85 odds - 3 units play - Triobet

Divol

Pinnacle
Author: Divol, Published 26 Apr 10
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