Thursday Night NBA

By Divol

Los Angeles Lakers v Boston Celtics



11th June 02:05 GMT

I will take the bet on Boston's Under yet again. In the last 16 games of the playoffs, Boston only twice scored above 97 points. Boston been very steady and scored most of the games between 92 and 96 points and fallen to 84 and 89 points performances against the Lakers in two of the three games (scored 103 points in Game 2). I believe that the total is really wrong here and should have been 94 points, maybe even 93.5 points. I know that 2 - 3 points don't sound like much, but for a team like Boston that have been as I said, very steady so far on their offense, the total is really pushing the limit of Boston's offensive power.

As for the game, I believe that Boston will win the game, despite not taking the bet. I know that if this is the case, taking Under for the game makes more sense, since if Boston wins and still goes Under, the Under for the game should hit as well. But you just can't say that 93 points is too high total for the Lakers. Boston are in a must win position today and should win. Lakers though should be really focused as well and after losing their last game that came after their win. They will be much more careful and will try to remain focused to end the series tonight.

Second bet - It's hard to pass on this bet with such odds. Ray Allen to score the most three point shots in the game. I think that while both teams have good shooters, I believe that unless something really rare happens, Kobe, Fisher, Pierce and Artest have three three pointers limit and probably will score not more than two even. Allen is the only one there that can score 4+ three pointers as a regular thing and it was right to make him favourite, just the odds are too high for him still. I think that 2.00 - 2.20 odds would have been more accurate, since he should come out a winner of such competition in at least 5 out of 10 games.

Third bet - I wanted to take this bet for three games now and each time passed, but not today. Perkins have yet made a single block the whole series. Three games and zero blocks and bookies still put up a prop on him facing Bynum and make them even in chances to win the bet. Now I really can't get that. Bynum made 8 blocks so far in this series. It's true that he made 7 blocks in Game 2, 1 block in Game 3 and 0 blocks in Game 1, but still, he would have won two of the three games and would have had the bet voided in the third.



Picks:

Boston Under 97 points - 1.90 odds - 3.5 units play -

Allen to score the most three pointers - 2.70 odds - 2 units play - Bwin

Bynum to make more blocks than Perkins - 1.75 odds - 2 units play - Gamebookers

Divol