Feliciano Lopez vs Jurgen Melzer

By Nishant Joshi

This 3rd round encounter could well prove to be your typical mug match, with both players breaking serve with alarming regularity and I'd personally be hugely disappointed if it didn't go the distance. In 5 matches so far between these two players, none have been won in straight sets by either player and there have been six tie-breaks in these matches to boot. They've played just one Grand Slam match against each other previously, which predictably went to five sets.

I'd be surprised if we didn't see another five-setter here, and as such I'm going to recommend a spread 'buy' of X-courts at 116 with Sporting Index - this is the total number of games won in a set by player A multiplied by the number of games won in a set by player B. For the make-up, the sum of each set is recorded. For example, our ideal scenario would see a result such as 7-6 6-4 6-7 4-6 6-4...which would give a make-up of 156 on the index. A result like this would be no surprise and wouldn't be far-fetched...I feel our worst-case scenario would be a four set match without tie-break, giving us a make-up of around 90.

Overall I feel the upside should outweigh any potential downside.

NJ's Bet:

Buy X-Courts - 0.4pts @ 116 (Sporting Index)

Nishant Joshi