Richard Gasquet vs. Michael Llodra

The talented French shot-makers face each other for the second time in just over a week in what could be a match with plenty of twists and turns at the Cincinnati Masters.

Richard Gasquet is a strongly fancied 1.2 favourite with the bookies, and this seems a bit short to us for trading purposes despite Gasquet's reasonable recent form, which saw him reach the quarter-finals of the Rogers Cup last week. However, Llodra has struggled with various injuries this year, and with Gasquet winning their encounter last week, we are not too keen on picking an outright winner at these prices, although Gasquet could prove an interesting lay-to-back proposition for traders.

Instead, we are very much interested in Sky Bet's total games market, having set the bar at over / under 20.5 games. For Gasquet, 9 out of 10 of his last three-set matches have finished over 20.5 games, and Llodra's last six three-set matches on the trot have finished over 20.5 games - this includes Gasquet's 2:1 victory over Llodra last week.

Therefore, 1.83 for over 20.5 games in the match looks like a cracking price, with a high probability of at least one tie-break.

NJ's Bet:

Gasquet / Llodra over 20.5 games in the match - 4pts @ 1.83 (Sky Bet)